我國經(jīng)濟(jì)四季度局面杰出 世界組織繼續(xù)看多?
China's economy in the fourth quarter situation outstanding the organization continue to see more?
“本年經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)開展首要目標(biāo)使命有把握較好完成。”李克強(qiáng)總理在經(jīng)濟(jì)開展和民生改進(jìn)座談會(huì)上的這一表態(tài),給我國經(jīng)濟(jì)注入了一針“強(qiáng)心劑”,也回?fù)袅送饨珀P(guān)于我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的質(zhì)疑。濟(jì)南財(cái)務(wù)咨詢公司
"This year's economic and social development priority mission sure good finish." Premier li keqiang on economic development and people's livelihood improvement seminars on the position, to our country's economy a shot in the arm ", also hit back at the outside questioned about our country's economy. Jinan financial consulting company
那么,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)究竟怎么呢?作為四季度的局面,從國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局發(fā)布的10月份的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)上,能夠看出我國經(jīng)濟(jì)開展正在企穩(wěn)上升,多家世界組織對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)開展也充滿了決心。
So, our country economy what? As the situation in the fourth quarter, from the national bureau of statistics released economic data in October, to be able to see that our country economy to develop are stabilising rise, many of the world organization of our country's economy is full of determination.
我國經(jīng)濟(jì)企穩(wěn)上升 全年完成6.5%增加無懸念
Our country economy stabilises The annual 6.5% increase no suspense
從11月14日國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局發(fā)布的數(shù)據(jù)來看,本年前三季度國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值529971億元,按可比價(jià)格核算,同比增加6.7%,與第一、二季度相等,接連三個(gè)季度的增加率相等,意味著經(jīng)濟(jì)增加確完成已企穩(wěn),并為增速上升積儲能量。
From the national bureau of statistics data released on November 14, the first in the third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) of 52.9971 trillion yuan, according to the comparable price calculation, increased 6.7% year-on-year, and is equal to the first and second quarter, successive increase rate is equal to the first three quarters of, means the economic increase is complete has stabilized, and for growth rose to store up energy.
全體看,10月份我國經(jīng)濟(jì)企穩(wěn)回暖的氣勢得以連續(xù)。一是實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)回暖,10月工業(yè)同比增加6.1%,PMI顯著上升,用電量同比增加7%,鐵路貨運(yùn)量創(chuàng)這些年新高。二是出資好于預(yù)期,1-10月固定資產(chǎn)出資同比增加8.3%,特別是民間出資增速接連三個(gè)月加速,顯現(xiàn)出資決心上升;三是PPI增速超預(yù)期上升至1.2%,反映公司盈余空間上升。四是錢銀增速堅(jiān)持安穩(wěn),M2與M1增速有所收窄。
All see, the momentum of the our country economy stabilises rebounded in October to continuous. It is a solid economic recovery, industry rose 6.1% in October, PMI significantly increased, the power consumption increased by 7%, compared to the same railway freight volume of record over the years. 2 it is contributive better than expected, 1 - fixed asset investment rose 8.3% in October, especially private investment growth acceleration for three months, manifested contributive to rise; 3 it is PPI rose to 1.2% grew more than expected, reflecting the company surplus space to rise. Four is stick to safe money growth, M2 and M1 growth narrowed somewhat.
從拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的三大首要目標(biāo)來看,出資增速上升、花費(fèi)堅(jiān)持穩(wěn)健、出口降幅收窄,標(biāo)明我國經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)出現(xiàn)出由降轉(zhuǎn)穩(wěn)的跡象。
From the perspective of the three primary goals of economy, investment growth rose, take prudent, export decline narrowed and indicate the economic operation in our country by turn down signs of stabilizing.
“從前三季度來看,經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)的態(tài)勢在穩(wěn)固,經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)的活躍要素還在不斷堆集。” 國家統(tǒng)計(jì)局新聞發(fā)言人毛盛勇說,10月份國民經(jīng)濟(jì)保相等穩(wěn)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)、穩(wěn)中有進(jìn)、穩(wěn)中提質(zhì),四季度依然有條件堅(jiān)持比較平穩(wěn)的增加,全年完成6.5%以上的增加應(yīng)當(dāng)沒有疑問。
"Once upon a time in the third quarter, the steady economic operation situation in solid, economic operation of the active elements are piled up." Said the national bureau of statistics spokesman Mao Chengyong, October equal steady operation, stability of national economy and stability of quality, in the fourth quarter was still relatively steady increase, the conditional insist on total completed more than 6.5% of the increase should have no doubt.
當(dāng)時(shí)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)企穩(wěn)上升,尤其是三季度以來很多目標(biāo)好于預(yù)期,結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、民生改進(jìn)出現(xiàn)很多亮點(diǎn),新動(dòng)能加速生長,公司效益改進(jìn),預(yù)計(jì)未來我國經(jīng)濟(jì)全體大將連續(xù)穩(wěn)中有升的緩慢上行趨勢。
Rise when the economy stabilises, especially since the third quarter of a lot of goals better than expected, structure adjustment and the livelihood of the people improve appeared a lot of bright spots, accelerate the new kinetic energy efficiency improvements, the next our country economy the general continuous slow upward trend is becoming better and better progressly.
交通銀行金融研究中心表明,近期微觀環(huán)境有所改進(jìn),多項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)目標(biāo)向好,經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)有所企穩(wěn)。在各方活躍要素的共同效果下,第四季度經(jīng)濟(jì)增速也許小幅上升至6.8%,全年經(jīng)濟(jì)增加約為6.7%。濟(jì)南財(cái)務(wù)咨詢公司
Bank of communications center for financial research shows that the recent micro environment improvement, a number of positive economic goals, economic operation has stabilized. In the parties under the joint effect of active elements, in the fourth quarter growth may have edged up to 6.8%, annual economic increase of about 6.7%. Jinan financial consulting company
多家世界組織看好我國經(jīng)濟(jì)開展遠(yuǎn)景
Several world organization on our country's economy to carry out the vision
據(jù)報(bào)道,11月22日,惠譽(yù)和穆迪兩家知名世界評級組織對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)別離做了評級。
According to the report, on November 22, fitch ratings and moody's two well-known world organization do to our country economy separation rating.
惠譽(yù)承認(rèn)我國評級為A+,遠(yuǎn)景展望安穩(wěn),表明我國近來的經(jīng)濟(jì)增速軌道伴隨著一定程度的失衡,這對根底經(jīng)濟(jì)和金融安穩(wěn)構(gòu)成危險(xiǎn)。但我國的強(qiáng)壯外來資金和微弱的微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)繼續(xù)支撐其主權(quán)評級記錄在目前的水平。雖然經(jīng)濟(jì)增速有所放緩,但微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)體現(xiàn)依舊為評級供給支撐。
Fitch admitted that China's rating of A +, prospects, show that China's recent economic growth orbit with A certain degree of imbalance, which pose A danger to life economic and financial stability. But strong foreign capital in China and weak microeconomic continue to support its sovereign ratings record at the current level. Although economic growth has slowed, but the microeconomic still to supply rating with support.
穆迪則以為,2017年我國GDP將繼續(xù)堅(jiān)持微弱增加,大宗商品價(jià)格趨穩(wěn),這將推進(jìn)受評我國非金融公司完成溫和的收入增加,盈余才能得到進(jìn)步,但具體影響會(huì)因行業(yè)而異。
Moody's thought, in 2017 GDP will continue to adhere to the weak increase in our country, the commodity price stabilization, it will promote the evaluation of non-financial companies to complete the moderate income increase in our country, the surplus to get progress, but the specific impact owing to the different industry.
而早在10月上旬,摩根士丹利就在發(fā)布的陳述中將今明兩年我國GDP增速預(yù)期從此前的6.4%和6.2%別離上調(diào)至6.7%和6.4%。摩根士丹利大中華區(qū)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家邢自強(qiáng)以為,我國政府財(cái)務(wù)支撐會(huì)帶來周期性增加氣勢,且外部需要更微弱。
And as early as in early October, Morgan Stanley will statement released in the next two years China's GDP growth is expected from the previous separation raised 6.4% and 6.4% to 6.2% and 6.4%. Morgan Stanley, greater China chief economist, xing ziqiang thought, our country government financial support can give rise to cyclical momentum, and external need more weak.
另一家外資組織瑞銀集團(tuán)也小幅上調(diào)我國2016年GDP預(yù)期至6.7%,理由是獲益于花費(fèi)等內(nèi)需安穩(wěn),工業(yè)生產(chǎn)同比增速相等,服務(wù)業(yè)增加值有望在房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的推進(jìn)下小幅改進(jìn)。該集團(tuán)剖析師指出,本年以來微弱的房地產(chǎn)活動(dòng)有助于安穩(wěn)房地產(chǎn)和工業(yè)出資,并提振有關(guān)花費(fèi)。
Ubs, another foreign organization also slightly raise China's GDP in 2016 is expected to 6.7%, the reason is that benefit from domestic demand such as safe, year-on-year growth in industrial production are equal, the added value of service industry is expected to be under the real estate industry to promote a slight improvement. The group analyze the teacher pointed out that since this year the weak real estate activities help secure real estate and industrial investment, and boost the relevant expenses.
多家世界組織看多我國經(jīng)濟(jì)并非偶爾,10月份,在一系列組合政策繼續(xù)效果下,國民經(jīng)濟(jì)總體上連續(xù)了三季度以來總體平穩(wěn)、穩(wěn)中有進(jìn)、穩(wěn)中提質(zhì)的開展態(tài)勢,讓世界組織對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)開展充滿了決心。
Several world organization to see how China's economy is not occasionally, in October, while under the effects of combination of a series of policies to continue, on the whole national economy continuously since the third quarter of the overall smooth and steady into, in the steady quality of conduct, to our country economy to carry out the organization of the world is full of determination.
雖然年內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)增加無憂,但剖析人士普遍以為,下一年經(jīng)濟(jì)增加或還會(huì)面臨壓力。
Though years economic increase, but analyze the people generally thought that next year the economy increase or will be under pressure.
毛盛勇也提到,一起應(yīng)當(dāng)看到,世界國內(nèi)環(huán)境依然撲朔迷離,不安穩(wěn)不確定要素較多,經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)轉(zhuǎn)面臨的兩難、多難疑問依然較多,經(jīng)濟(jì)企穩(wěn)根底仍不結(jié)實(shí)。下一步,要進(jìn)一步加大作業(yè)執(zhí)行力度,盡力穩(wěn)固活躍改變要素,推進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)健康開展。
Mao Chengyong also mentioned, should see together, the domestic environment remains uncertain and unsafe factors of uncertainty, more economy faces the dilemma of operation, still more difficult question, economy stabilises foundation is still not strong enough. The next step, to further increase the intensity of job execution, do our best to stabilize active change elements, to promote steady economic health.